Category Archives: Uncategorized

Why is concern about global warming so politically polarized?

As a climate scientist, I often hear it bemoaned that the public discussion of human-caused global warming is so politically polarized (Pew Research, 2019). The argument goes that global warming is simply a matter of pure science and thus there … Continue reading

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Daily, Seasonal, Annual and Decadal Temperature Variability on a Single Graph

The graph above is a record of temperature from 1950-2017 for New York City. What is unique about this graph is that it shows daily, seasonal, annual and decadal temperature variability on a single Y-axis, revealing how their magnitudes compare. … Continue reading

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El Nino’s influence the upcoming season’s global land temperatures

The El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the preeminent mode of global climate variability on timescales of months to several years. El Niño events cause temporary elevations in global average temperatures, and in the context of background global warming from increasing … Continue reading

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Does the IPCC say we have until 2030 to avoid catastrophic global warming?

In late 2018 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released a report on the impacts associated with global warming of 1.5°C (2.7°F) above preindustrial levels (as of 2019 we are at about 1.0°C above pre-industrial levels) as well as … Continue reading

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California fires and Global Warming’s influence on lack of moisture

This autumn has been very dry in California and this has undoubtedly increased the chance of occurrence of the deadly wildfires that the state is seeing. When assessing the influence of global warming (from human burning of fossil fuels) on … Continue reading

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The leverage of the current moment on the long-term trajectory of the climate

Below is a talk I gave at the “Bay Area Regional Climate Emergency Town Hall” in Berkeley, CA on August 24th, 2018 titled “The leverage of the current moment on the long-term trajectory of the climate”.    

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Reducing greenhouse gas emissions helps the economy

Potential solutions to climate change are often framed as a tradeoff between reducing our impact on the environment and harming the economy. More specifically, it is thought that we can reduce our climate-change-related impact by reducing emissions of greenhouse gases … Continue reading

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Math Models and Climate Change: S.T.E.M. Day talk at Quarry Lane School

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The effect of population growth on climate change impacts

Global human population is currently at approximately 7.5 billion people and increasing by about 1.1% per year. However, the rate of growth of the population growth rate itself is decreasing so world population is expected to level off somewhere near … Continue reading

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Change in temperature variability with warming

We have a new paper out in Nature Climate Change on potential changes in natural unforced variability of global mean surface air temperature (GMST) under global warming. Paper News and Views piece Duke press release Unforced GMST variability is of … Continue reading

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