Research

PUBLICATIONS IN PEER-REVIEWED JOURNALS

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Google Scholar profile

In Prep:

• Brown P. T., J. Moreno-Cruz, K. Caldeira (20XX) When will climate change mitigation begin to produce global net economic benefits?. In Prep.

• Brown P. T., J. Moreno-Cruz, H. Saunders, Z. Hausfather, S. J. Davis, F. Tong, K. Caldeira (20XX) Net economic impact of UN global warming mitigation targets. In Prep.

• Brown, P. T., M. Evans, A. Mahesh, H. Gupta, K. Caldeira (20XX) Skillful empirical prediction of high-impact temperature deviations. In Prep.

• Brown, P. T., K. Caldeira (20XX) Empirical prediction of global temperature variability. In Prep.

Published:

• Caldeira, K., P. T. Brown (2018) Reduced emissions through climate damage to the economy. PNAS, doi:10.1073/pnas.1819605116

• Brown, P. T., M. Stolpe, K. Caldeira (2018) Assumptions for Emergent Constraints. Nature, doi:10.1038/nature25450
  • Blog post on research.

• Brown, P. T., K. Caldeira (2017) Greater future global warming inferred from Earth’s recent energy budget. Nature, doi:10.1038/nature24672.
  • Blog post on research.
  • Stanford EE-CS colloquium presentation on research.

• Brown, P. T., Y. Ming, W. Li, S. A. Hill (2017) Change in the magnitude and mechanisms of global temperature variability with warming. Nature Climate Change, doi:0.1038/nclimate3381.
  • AGU talk summarizing the research

• Brown, P. T., W. Li, J. H. Jiang, H. Su (2016) Spread in the magnitude of climate model interdecadal global temperature variability traced to disagreements over high-latitude oceans. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2016GL071442.
  • Blog post on the research.

• Brown, P. T. (2016) Reporting on global warming: A study in headlines, Physics Today, doi:10.1063/PT.3.3310.
  • ‘Director’s cut’ blog post.

• Brown, P. T. (2016) What do historical temperature records tell us about natural variability in global temperature?, Climanosco, 24 Aug. 2016.
  • placed 2nd overall in the Climanosco launch challenge)

• Brown, P. T., M. S. Lozier, R. Zhang, W. Li (2016) The necessity of cloud feedback for a basin-scale Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:10.1002/2016GL068303.
  • Blog post on the research.

• Brown, P.T., W. Li, J.H. Jiang, H. Su (2016) Unforced surface air temperature variability and its contrasting relationship with the anomalous TOA energy flux at local and global spatial scales. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0384.1.
  • Technical blog post on the research.
  • Plain English blog post on the research.

• Brown, P.T., W. Li, E.C. Cordero, S.A. Mauget (2015) Comparing the model-simulated global warming signal to observations using empirical estimates of unforced noise. Scientific Reports, doi:10.1038/srep09957.
  • Blog post on the research.

• Brown, P.T., W. Li, S. P. Xie (2015) Regions of Significant Influence on Unforced Global Mean Surface Temperature Variability in Climate Models. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, doi: 10.1002/2014JD022576.

• Brown, P.T., W. Li, L. Li, Y. Ming (2014) Top-of-Atmosphere Radiative Contribution to Unforced Decadal Global Temperature Variability in Climate Models. Geophysical Research Letters, doi: 10.1002/2014GL060625.
  • Blog post on the research.

• Foster, G., P.T. Brown (2014) Time and Tide: The Analysis of Sea Level Time Series. Climate Dynamics, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2224-3.

• Brown, P.T., E.C. Cordero, S.A. Mauget (2012) Reproduction of 20^th Century Intradecadal to Multidecadal Surface Temperature Variability in Radiatively Forced Coupled Climate Models. Journal of Geophysical Research – Atmospheres, doi:10.1029/2011JD016864.

• Mauget S.A., E.C. Cordero, P.T. Brown (2011) Evaluating Modeled Intra- to Multidecadal Climate Variability Using Running Mann-Whitney Z Statistics. Journal of Climate, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00211.1.